Saturday, March 9, 2013
Marc Faber Sounds The Alarm : The Market Has Peaked Out
If the stock market continues to climb into July or August, a crash is possible, says Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report.
The stock market has "peaked out" and bonds may be on their way to a rebound, Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, said Thursday on CNBC.
"I think we have made an intermediate top, and it could be a longer-term top," he said on "Fast Money."
"I don't think the market is as overbought as it was in '87, so I don't expect a crash. But I think for the time being, the market has peaked out, and I think in the meantime, bonds, which are extremely oversold, could rebound," he said.
The S&P 500 closed at 1,502.52 Thursday. A level of 1,530 could prove to be a longer-term high, Faber said.
"What I maintained in earlier interviews is that either we have a correction now, and then we go up further or we go straight up high in July-August, from where we could crash, so I welcome a correction here," he said. "The question will be, after this correction, we have to watch the market's rebound, whether it can make a new high or not."
Faber's holdings are 25 percent gold, 25 percent equities, 25 percent corporate bonds and cash, and 25 percent in real estate.
Why should investors believe his bearish prognostications?
"There was a correction between March, April 2012 and actually June 2012, so we had a correction, and then from September onward, when the S&P reached 1,474, we also had a correction into November, at which stage I said that the market would now rally. So I don't think I've been so totally wrong about the moves of the market, especially since 2009, and I can document those with the performance of my portfolio.
"But I think that the market has now become quite overbought and that is very significant or overextended, bullish sentiment. Everybody says, 'Sell bonds, buy equities.' And when everybody thinks alike, one has to be careful."
Posted by Biz TV